Labels

Monday, May 07, 2007

Berkshire's 2007 annual meeting links here. From these :
  • On Planned Parenthood : Buffett said he believes it is terrific. Says women have had bearing babies forced upon them for years. Men set the rules for years, and he thinks it wonderful that women can make reproductive choices. He said, "I hope you'll respect my opinion as I respect yours."
  • On the Dow @13000 : Better get used to these big numbers, to get a 5% return, the Dow will have to be at a million by the end of this century.
  • Warren Buffett's only tax advisor is George W. Bush. His annual tax rate last year was 20%. In comparison, he said his employees with income's of US$50k+, pay close to 37%. Forbes 400 richest Americans pay a lower tax rate than their receptionists.
  • Still sticks with the 50% return claim for upto $10 million.
  • "Read everything you can. By the time I was 10, I read every book in the library that had to do with investing, and many I read twice. You just have to fill up your mind with competing thoughts and then sort them out as to what makes sense over time. And once you've done that, you ought to jump in the water. The earlier you start the better in terms of reading. What I'm doing today at 76 is running things in the same thought pattern that I got from a book at 19. Read, and then on small scale do some of it yourself."
  • Will 1973-74 opportunities happen again?When I closed my partnership, the prospective returns going forward I felt was the same as municipal bonds. Don't think that it is the same situation now. If I managed endowment funds, it would be 100% in stocks or long bonds or short bonds, no mix. If I have 20 years and a choice between index funds and 20 year bonds, I would rather buy stocks today.
  • Silver : I bought too early, sold too early, and other than that it was a perfect trade.
  • What advice do you have for people giving money 40 years from now? As long as you plan to give it back, there is nothing wrong with your time horizon. If you're compounding money at a rate greater than people generally do, you are an endowment for society. Endowments do that to get average returns. You can let someone else take care of the giving now.
  • We were talking about an oil company where we read the report and couldn't find the exploration costs in the report. To the extent that it was touched on, was in a dishonest manner. It makes a difference. Annual reports tell you a lot about the honesty of the individual.
  • If I were writing something now, I would say if I had to own long bonds or equities, I'd rather have equities, but I would not have high expectations, but above 4.75%

CM mentions Marcus Aurelius here, (a full transcript of the Q&A)

"What one does easily, one does well." -Andrew Carnegie

Thursday, May 03, 2007

Just heard the very cool Vint Cerf speak on the future of the Internet. Am I glad to be in engineering :) Felt energized and quite excited again. Was reminded of naive excitement back in school. A cool quote by him was "Power corrupts, and powerpoint corrupts absolutely. So much effort goes into looking right, the content becomes secondary". Apparently, they have interplanetary protocols running now.

Also, ran into L in the parking lot, inspired me to think of switching jobs. I wasn't alone to think there is something wrong in current setup. He echoed a lot of concerns that have been having, received an invite to discuss further anytime.

Wednesday, May 02, 2007

NYSE short interest ratio is 7.4 apparently. Range is 3.5-7.5. Accordingly, the market rallies on relentlessly. Saw obscene upticks in CMG and MA. ($9 and $14+), both stocks I have owned previously and sold due to valuation considerations ;) Don't have any ideas so still 40% in cash. Iam wondering who these people are, the ones buying so much. Maybe it is smart money after all. Apparently, the last time the Dow declined in 2 of 21 trading days was in 1929.
Of course, I may be just feeling left out ;)

From James Stewart in SmartMoney :

Repeat after me : Markets do not go straight up. I've had to remind people of this in recent years with respect to real estate, oil, and now stocks. The average rally since 1979 has been 50%. But I never buy stocks when the market hits a new all-time high. I don't even like to buy on a day when the market rises. I like to buy into rampant pessimism. I've had to get a very firm grip and remind myself that there will be another correction, or at least a significant buying opportunity, as there was as recently as February. Patience is an underrated virtue in investing. Like most good things, this rally won't last forever.

Friday, April 20, 2007

Found this quote today. Written nicely hence quoted below, did always suspect puritanical strain in self, think that clear logic must be so.

"The notion that a panic should be allowed to pursue its course is perhaps of two strains. One strain takes a certain amount of pleasure, or Schadenfreude, in the trouble visited upon the market, as retribution for excesses of the past; this somewhat puritanical or fundamentalist standpoint rather welcomes hellfire as just dessert. The other sees panic as a thunderstorm, cleaning the air. It purifies the commercial and financial elements, and tends to restore vitality and health, alike conducive to regular trade, sound progress and permanent prosperity." -Charles Kindleberger

Tuesday, April 17, 2007

A Review of Buffet's Partnership Letters here.

From it :
There is some ambiguity in the statements he makes now and the way that he ran his business back then. He talks about how he never used margin but he actually did. Sometimes he would borrow up to 25%. He also berates fund managers for the fees they charge but his funds charged 25% of anything over 6%. He also had other fee schedules that would charge 1/3 of all profits (with no bogey). These high fees are where he made his original wealth that would allow him to be the largest shareholder of his current company and one of the wealthiest people in the world.

Wednesday, April 11, 2007

Something off-topic: Read this about the Gnostic Gospels yesterday :

According to the Nag Hammadi Gnostic Gospels, Jesus was just a roving, wise man who preached a life of possession-less wandering and of whole-hearted acceptance of fellow human beings. He preached that self-knowledge is the knowledge of God; the self and the divine are one and the same. The message conveyed was that to know oneself, at the deepest level, was also to know God-that is , by looking within oneself to find the sources of joy, sorrow, love and hate, one would find God.

Hmm, sounds more plausible than immaculate conception etc.. Sign me up.

Tuesday, March 27, 2007

Have been in India for the past three weeks. Visited the Gandhi Memorial in Pune yesterday. Was very moved by the experience. How did the country go from such selfless idealism to today's corrupt leaders and eroded values? Think India's potential as an "emerging" super-power seems overstated. Think India needs a dictator like Singapore's Lee to bring about the requsite accountability and punishment that are sadly lacking today.

The Cricket World Cup was a source of a lot of excitement upon my arrival here. Now of course, India and Pakistan are out after surprising defeats to two of the weakest teams in the draw. Ofcourse this is not so surprising if these matches are assumed to have been fixed. The Bob Woolmer murder has added another depressing and Kafkaesque angle to the whole affair. As Mark Waugh, an Australian cricketer said "The fixing problems in most of the cricketing world have been solved, except for the sub-continent. Their players still push the envelope".

May sound ironic, but have never been more in love with the country than now. Every visit reinforces my gratitude for having the luck to be born in a family and country where could be free to pursue whatever I wanted.

Portfolio doing fantastic right now. Is up 20% YTD. Too chicken to sell, since hasn't reached target price yet. Hoping for COP to 72+, APC : 45+, WFMI : 55+

Thursday, March 01, 2007

From Berkshire Hathaway's 2007 annual report

Some enjoyable and thought provoking excerpts from the 2007 Berkshire annual report:
  • There are many giant-company managers that I greatly admire, but I don't think I could do the management job they do. I wouldn't enjoy the duties that came with their positions, meetings, speeches, foreign travel, the charity circuit and governmental relations.
  • In our early years we put most of our retained earnings and insurance float into investments in marketable securities, because of this our growth in the early years was high. (27.5%). Later years we focused more on the acquisition of operating businesses hence lower rate in later years (12.5%)
  • ISCAR makes money because it enables its customers to make money. There is no better recipe for continued success.
  • Paul (of TTI Technologies) rejected the idea of a "strategic" buyer, knowing that in the pursuit of "synergies", he would be apt to dismantle what he had so carefully built, a move that would uproot hundreds of his associates. He also ruled out private equity, which would very likely load the company with debt and then flip it as soon as possible.
  • Jack was late. Finally arriving, he explained he had been driving around looking for a parking meter with unexpired time. That was a magic moment. I knew that Jack was my kind of manager.
  • Naturally, I had no notion in 1967 that our float would be as large as it is today ($50.9+ billion) . There's much to be said for just putting one foot in front of the other every day.
  • Appropriate prices do not guarantee profits, but inappropriate prices most certainly guarantee losses.
  • We remain prepared to lose $6 billion in a single event, if we have been paid appropriately for assuming that risk. We
    are not willing, though, to take on even very small exposures at prices that don't reflect our evaluation of loss
    probabilities. Appropriate prices do not guarantee profits, but inappropriate prices most certainly guarantee eventual
    losses.
    Rates have recently fallen because a flood of capital has entered the super-cat field. We have therefore
    sharply reduced our wind exposures. Our behavior here parallels that which we employ in financial markets: Be fearful
    when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful.
  • Once you've flown NetJets, returning to commercial flights is like going back to holding hands.
  • You will be happy to hear- and I'm even happier - that this will be my last discussion of the losses at Gen Re's
    derivative operation. When we started to wind this business down, we had 23,218 contracts outstanding, now we have
    197. A Shakespearean thought seems appropriate for the tombstone of this derivative business:
    "All's well that ends"
  • As our US trade problems worsen, the probability that the dollar will weaken over time, continues to be high. I
    fervently believe in real trade - the more the better for both us and the word. We had about $1.44 trillion of this
    honest-to-god trade in 2006. But the US also had .76 trillion (6% of GDP) of pseudo-trade - imports for which we
    exchanged no goods or services. Making these purchases that weren't reciprocated by sales, the US necessarily
    transferred ownership of its assets or IOUs to the rest of the world. Like a very wealthy but self-indulgent family, we
    peeled off a bit of what we owned in order to consume more than we produced.
  • The investment income account of our country - positive every year since 1915 - turned negative in 2006.
    Foreigners now earn more on their US investments than we do on our investments abroad.
  • All of our direct currency profits we have realized have come from forward contracts, which are
    derivatives, and that we have entered other types of derivatives contracts too. This may seem odd, since you know of
    our expensive experience in unwinding the derivatives book at Gen Re and also have heard me talk of the systemic
    problems that could result from the enormous growth in the use of derivatives. Why, you may wonder, are we fooling around with such potentially toxic material? The answer is that derivatives, just like stocks and bonds, are sometimes
    wildly mispriced. We currently have 62 contracts outstanding. I manage them personally, and they are free of counter-party credit risk. So far, these contracts have worked out well for us, producing pre-tax profits in the hundreds
    of millions of dollars. Though we will experience losses from time-to-time, we are likely to earn - overall - significant profits from mispriced derivatives.
  • Picking the right person will not be an easy task. Its not hard, of course, to find smart people, among them individuals who have impressive investment records. But there is more to successful long-term investing than brains
    and performance that has recently been good. Over time the markets will do extraordinary, even bizarre, things. A single, big mistake could wipe out a long string of
    successes. We therefore need someone genetically programmed to recognize and avoid serious risks, including those never before encountered. Certain perils that lurk in investment strategies cannot be spotted by use of the models commonly employed today by financial institutions. Temperament is also important. Independent thinking, emotional stability, and a keen understanding of both human and institutional behavior is vital to long-term investment success. I've seen a lot of very smart people who lacked these virtues.
  • Board members must be owner-oriented, business-savvy, interested and truly independent and to faithfully represent owners.
  • I have been the Typhoid Mary of compensation committees. "All other kids have one" may seem too juvenile
    for use in the boardroom, but consultants employ precisely this argument, phrased more elegantly of course.The consultant's present drill of deftly selecting "peer" companies to compare with will only perpetuate present
    excesses.
  • Wall Street's Pied Piper's of Performance will have encouraged the futile hopes of the Gotrocks - above-average
    performance will be promised to them by only paying ever-higher fees.- In part the family persists in this folly because it harbors unrealistic expectations about obtainable returns.
  • Let me end this section by telling you about one of the good guys of Wall Street : Walter Schloss. From 56-2002,
    Walter managed a successful investment partnership, from which he took not a dime unless his investors
    made money. Walter did not go to business school, or college. His office contained 1 file cabinet in
    1956, that number had mushroomed to 4 by 2002. He worked without a secretary, book-keeper or clerk, just with
    his son, Edwin. They used only simple statistical
    methods Walter learnt while working for Ben Graham. When asked about their record, they replied : "We try to buy stocks cheap". So much for MPT, TA and complex algorithms.
  • Following a strategy that involved no real risk - defined as permanent loss of capital - Walter produced results that
    dramatically surpassed the S&P 500. Still, schools went merrily on their way presenting EMT
    as having the certainty of scripture. Walter meanwhile went on over-performing, his job made easier by the misguided
    instructions. Maybe it was a good thing for his investors that Walter did not
    go to college.
  • Last year, one hapless soul asked Charlie what he should do if he didn't enjoy the book (Poor Charlie;s Almanack),
    back came a Mungerism " No problem, just give it to someone more intelligent". Other books are : "Seeking Wisdom
    : From Darwin to Munger" by Peter Bevelin and Fred Schwed's classic : "Where are the Customer's yachts?". The funniest book ever written about investing, it lightly
    delivers many truly important messages on the subject.
  • Charlie and I are extraordinarily lucky. We were born in America, had terrific parents who saw that we got good
    educations; have enjoyed wonderful families and great health; and came equipped with a business gene that has
    allowed us to prosper in a manner hugely disproportionate to other people who contribute as much or more to our
    society's well-being. Moreover we have jobs we love, in which we are helped every day in countless ways by talented
    ad cheerful associates. No wonder we tap-dance to work.

Monday, February 26, 2007

Bill Miller interview excerpts

...as I'm fond of telling the analysts, if it's in the newspapers, it's in the price. So you really need to understand what isn't in the price, what isn't being discounted, what events can happen that will lead the market to think differently...

...If gasoline prices go up, you're going to drive less. So price and demand are inversely correlated: basic economics..But in financial markets, it isn't the case. Here, demand is positively correlated with price. More people buy things when they go up; if stocks start to go up, more people want them than if they're going down. The higher they go up, the greater the demand for them.... financial assets particularly - it's been very well established that demand follows price....

Entire interview here.

Planning to read Fortune’s Formula by Bill Poundstone soon.

Tuesday, February 06, 2007

  • The task is not to see what lies dimly in the distance, but to do what lies clearly at hand - Thomas Carlyle
  • Necessity never made a good bargain - Benjamin F
  • Acquire worldly wisdom and do what you think is right. If that gives you temporary unpopularity with your peer group, then to hell with them - Charles M
  • The ones who matter don't mind, and the ones that mind don't matter. - (unbelievably, Dr Seuss)

    Reading the Almanack again, as a bad day in the market. Rushing to work now to do what lies at hand, loath to leave the tulips though.

Saturday, January 20, 2007

From James Stewart, Common Sense, some good rules to live by :

-When the market falls and stock values decline, focus on buying rather than the current value. When favorite stock falls in price, most paralyzed. Phenomenon not limited to neophytes. Ibankers seem comfortable spending billions only when high prices. e.g. M&A pick up during market peaks.
-Remember that stock represents fractional ownership in an ongoing enterprise.

Interesting Barron's section this week. Round-table II. After the scolding last week, they left us 2 copies of the paper this morning, guess am shrewish after all ;) Also signed up for brokeragelink at Fidelity. Might as well manage retirement funds as well. Have a couple of good ideas for those funds. Advising T to buy VGENX and fuggedaboutit for 1 year. Also thinking of going to Omaha this year for the annual meeting, may be fun.

Need to do some regular work today. Lagging pitifully behind on that. Atleast it provides the steady, if unspectacular steady-state and gives me something to do during the day.

Nice Quote :"The happiest conversation is one where there is no competition, no vanity, but a calm interchange of sentiments". - Samuel Johnson

Tuesday, January 16, 2007

"Be extremely skeptical, and stay with what you know. The great success stories in life are people who figure out what they know, stay with it, put their eggs in that basket and watch it very carefully. Don't listen to me or anybody else." - Jim Rogers


The stock market is the only place where customers will run away from a bargain. Someone once said that and it remains true. I did some buying this afternoon - nothing very big, but nevertheless, I'm putting money to work. I think that attention will blow over shortly. The market's concentration span is quite limited, so while it may be the key focus now, next week it won't be. In a few days we'll all be focused on something else.

Always Be An Early Seller
Don't worry about leaving some money on the table. As the saying goes on Wall Street - the only person who always buys at the bottom and sells at the top is a liar.

When To Sell Winners

When To Sell Winners
Professionals sell stocks only when the reasons they bought them are no longer valid. e.g a stock selected because it was undervalued is considered ripe for selling when it reaches "a reasonable valuation." Start with the stock's fundamentals, its P/E, P/S ratio, book value, and cash flow. Is it more expensive than its peers? If you're still the least bit bullish, it's probably too early to sell. The bottom line is that you have to always ask yourself why you bought a particular stock in the first place and if that reason is no longer valid, then it may be time to move on.

Another one : would you buy it again at this price? If answer is no, SELL!! and RUN!!

Thursday, January 11, 2007

Some Munger pearls

Found these today.. ----- IT PAYS TO BUY QUALITY: Munger persuaded Buffett to embark on the new investment strategy with the 1972 acquisition of South San Francisco's See's Candies for $25 million -- a tiny fraction of what it's worth today. "See's candy company was the first high-quality business we ever bought," he observed. See's also demonstrated to the value of building a "seamless web of trust" between a company and its customers and suppliers, he said in making the point that doing the right thing can pay big dividends both personally and professionally. One has to have a lot of patience in waiting for the right investment opportunities to come along, and similar patience and selectivity can be useful in one's personal life as well, Munger said. "When you have doubts about a person, you can pass," he said. "There's enough nice people to interface with." Other observations Munger shared: • Strategic plans prompt people to do something when sometimes the best course of action is no action. "Strategic plans cause more dumb decisions than anything else in America." • Their mistakes tended to be "great losses of omission. "If we had invested in McDonald's in its infancy ..." he ruminated. Berkshire recently acquired a significant stake in the nation's largest restaurant chain. • Know your limits. "A money manager with an IQ of 160 and thinks it's 180 will kill you," he said. "Going with a money manager with an IQ of 130 who thinks its 125 could serve you well."

Wednesday, November 01, 2006

some investment quotes

Good Quotes on Investing


Core Investment Principles

"To invest successfully, you need not understand beta, efficient markets, modern portfolio theory, option pricing or emerging markets. You may, in fact, be better off knowing nothing of these. That, of course, is not the prevailing view at most business schools, whose finance curriculum tends to be dominated by such subjects. In our view, though, investment students need only two well-taught courses - How to Value a Business, and How to Think About Market Prices. "Your goal as an investor should simply be to purchase, at a rational price, a part interest in an easily-understandable business whose earnings are virtually certain to be materially higher five, ten and twenty years from now. Over time, you will find only a few companies that meet these standards - so when you see one that qualifies, you should buy a meaningful amount of stock. You must also resist the temptation to stray from your guidelines: If you aren’t willing to own a stock for ten years, don’t even think about owning it for ten minutes. Put together a portfolio of companies whose aggregate earnings march upward over the years, and so also will the portfolio’s market value."
--Warren Buffett, 1996 Berkshire Hathaway Shareholder Letter


"Confronted with a challenge to distill the secret of sound investment into three words, we venture the motto, Margin of Safety."
--Ben Graham, The Intelligent Investor.


"The key to investing is not assessing how much an industry is going to affect society, or how much it will grow, but rather determining the competitive advantage of any given company and, above all, the durability of that advantage. The products or services that have wide, sustainable moats around them are the ones that deliver rewards to investors."
--Warren Buffett, Fortune magazine, 11/22/99


"Our investments continue to be few in number and simple in concept: The truly big investment idea can usually be explained in a short paragraph. We like a business with enduring competitive advantages that is run by able and owner-oriented people. When these attributes exist, and when we can make purchases at sensible prices, it is hard to go wrong (a challenge we periodically manage to overcome).
"Investors should remember that their scorecard is not computed using Olympic-diving methods: Degree-of-difficulty doesn’t count. If you are right about a business whole value is largely dependent on a single key factor that is both easy to understand and enduring, the payoff is the same as if you had correctly analyzed an investment alternative characterized by many constantly shifting and complex variables."
--Warren Buffett, 1994 Berkshire Hathaway Shareholder Letter


"We continually search for large businesses with understandable, enduring and mouth-watering economics that are run by able and shareholder-oriented managements. This focus doesn’t guarantee results: We both have to buy at a sensible price and get business performance from our companies that validates our assessment. But this investment approach -- searching for the superstars -- offers us our only chance for real success. Charlie and I are simply not smart enough to get great results by adroitly buying and selling portions of far-from-great businesses."
--Warren Buffett, 1991 Berkshire Hathaway Shareholder Letter


"An alert investor who has held a good stock for some time usually gets to know its less desirable as well as its more desirable characteristics. Therefore, before selling a rather satisfactory holding in order to get a still better one, there is need of the greatest care in trying to appraise accurately all elements of the situation."
--Philip Fisher, Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits, p.81.


"The investor cannot pinpoint just how much per share a particular company will earn two years from now. As a matter of fact, the company’s top management cannot. Under these circumstances, how can anyone say with even moderate precision just what is overpriced for an outstanding company with an unusually rapid growth rate? If the growth rate is so good that in another ten years the company might well have quadrupled, is it really of such great concern whether at the moment the stock might or might not be 35% overpriced? That which really matters is not to disturb a position that is going to be worth a great deal more later."
-- Philip Fisher, Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits, p.83.


"Even the most thoughtful and steadfast investor is susceptible to the influence of skeptics who yell ‘Sell’ before it’s time to sell…We’ve all been taught the same adages: ‘Take profits when you can,’ and ‘A sure gain is always better than a possible loss.’ But when you’ve found the right stock and bought it, all the evidence tells you it’s going higher, and everything is working in your direction, then it’s a shame if you sell. A fivefold gain turns $10,000 into $50,000, but the next five folds turn $10,000 into $250,000. Investing in a 25-bagger is not a regular occurrence even among fund managers, and for the individual, it may only happen once or twice in a lifetime. When you’ve got one, you might as well enjoy the full benefit."
-- Peter Lynch, One Up on Wall Street, p. 253.


"We try to price, rather than time, purchases. In our view, it is folly to forego buying shares in an outstanding business whose long-term future is predictable, because of short-term worries about an economy or a stock market that we know to be unpredictable. Why scrap an informed decision because of an uninformed guess?
"We purchased National Indemnity in 1967, See’s in 1972, Buffalo News in 1977, Nebraska Furniture Mart in 1983, and Scott Fetzer in 1986 because those are the years they became available and because we thought the prices they carried were acceptable. In each case, we pondered what the business was likely to do, not what the Dow, the Fed, or the economy might do. If we see this approach as making sense in the purchase of businesses in their entirety, why should we change tack when we are purchasing small pieces of wonderful businesses in the stock market?"
--Warren Buffett, 1994 Berkshire Hathaway Shareholder Letter


"The most common cause of low prices is pessimism - some times pervasive, some times specific to a company or industry. We want to do business in such an environment, not because we like pessimism but because we like the prices it produces. It’s optimism that is the enemy of the rational buyer.
"None of this means, however, that a business or stock is an intelligent purchase simply because it is unpopular; a contrarian approach is just as foolish as a follow-the-crowd strategy. What’s required is thinking rather than polling. Unfortunately, Bertrand Russell's observation about life in general applies with unusual force in the financial world: ‘Most men would rather die than think. Many do.’"
--Warren Buffett, 1990 Berkshire Hathaway Shareholder Letter


"Price fluctuations have only one significant meaning for the true investor. They provide him with an opportunity to buy wisely when prices fall sharply and to sell wisely when they advance a great deal. At other times he will do better if he forgets about the stock market and pays attention to…the operating results of his companies."
--Ben Graham, The Intelligent Investor, p.109.


"The percentage of investors who own 25 or more different stocks is appalling. Investors have been so oversold on diversification that fear of having too many eggs in one basket has caused them to put far too little into companies they thoroughly know and far too much in others about which they know nothing at all. It never seems to occur to them that buying a company without having sufficient knowledge of it may be even more dangerous than having inadequate diversification.
-- Philip Fisher, Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits, pp. 108-9.

Sunday, October 22, 2006

Came across these quotes today. I was awed to have such eminent and diverse soulmates, for lack of a better word ********************************************************************************** Great spirits have always encountered opposition from mediocre minds. The mediocre mind is incapable of understanding the man who refuses to bow blindly to conventional prejudices and chooses instead to express his opinions courageously and honestly. Albert Einstein (1879 - 1955), quoted in New York Times, March 13, 1940 
  Men fear thought as they fear nothing else on earth -- more than ruin -- more even than death.... Thought is subversive and revolutionary, destructive and terrible, thought is merciless to privilege, established institutions, and comfortable habit. Thought looks into the pit of hell and is not afraid. Thought is great and swift and free, the light of the world, and the chief glory of man. Bertrand Russell (1872 - 1970) 
 My definition of a free society is a society where it is safe to be unpopular. Adlai E. Stevenson Jr. (1900 - 1965) 
 Everything that is really great and inspiring is created by the individual who can labor in freedom. Albert Einstein (1879 - 1955) 

 To know what you prefer instead of humbly saying Amen to what the world tells you you ought to prefer, is to have kept your soul alive. Robert Louis Stevenson (1850 - 1894) 

 The ideals which have lighted my way, and time after time have given me new courage to face life cheerfully, have been Kindness, Beauty, and Truth. The trite subjects of human efforts, possessions, outward success, luxury have always seemed to me contemptible. Albert Einstein (1879 - 1955) 

 A room without books is like a body without a soul. Cicero (106 BC - 43 BC)

 That best portion of a good man's life, His little, nameless, unremembered acts of kindness and of love. William Wordsworth

Wednesday, October 18, 2006

interesting quotes on friendships

By Francis Bacon "Of Friendship" : "to whom you may impart griefs, joys, fears, hopes, suspicions and whatever lieth an oppression on the heart". "To rehearse and work through my own thoughts and views in the mirror of another's mind, and gail faithful counsel on the rightness of my judgement". 

 "For without friends", write Aristotle, in the Ethics, "no one would choose to live".
 "Sir, I look upon every day to be lost, in which I do not make a new acquaintance." Samuel Johnson
 "There can be no friendship without confidence, and no confidence without integrity." Samuel Johnson 
"This is the happiest conversation", said Samuel Johnson, "where there is no competition, no vanity, but a calm interchange of sentiments". 


Tuesday, October 17, 2006

Missing my funnier half. Is away for a business trip. Have been left to my own devices for three weekends now, expecting due recompense for travails.

So, yesterday was a giddy giddy day. I dared to hope to reach pre May 06 levels.

I have done something quite foolish and risky by buying MA yesterday. I know that its had a big run-up, but bought in nevertheless. Am hoping for a quick and dirty small loot to boost the steady state of portfolio, as with PFCB last month, however it seems a bit risky. May stay in till November 1. Wow, these momentum things really need some stomach.

Others going up nicely, am not extremely worried about any other because they I think are at reasonable valuations. HURC is beautiful. Waiting for 32-33 before bailing.

No other insights unfortunately since I wrote the last time. Just hoping the small raid like Ghengis Khan foraying into India and running off with quick loots works for me too..

Stay cool. And luck!

Sunday, September 17, 2006

So after a couple of desultory postings on my personal text blog, found that Iam not as motivated to post as Iam posting here online for all to see. I don't think too many people read this but oh well, they can if they want to !


Portfolio is in decent-er shape now. Not negative for the YTD. Still trailing the market, but I have a lot of new ones that need time to bloom :)

CKCM got bought out aat a nice price, actually made some money. Was a good strategy to buy some more when it tanked.

Iam a bit hopeful of natural gas play NBR. I think the weather may play up at some point in the future and may recover some on there. PFCB going up nicely, and also hopeful of HURC.
Followed WB on ?USG and also saw why he may have bought it, P/E of essentially about 5.4!


When the next oil runup arrives, if it arrives, COP and STO are going to be history..